Who is the Danish Refugee Council?

Founded in 1956, the Danish Refugee Council (DRC) is a leading international NGO and one of the few with a specific expertise in forced displacement. Active in 40 countries with 9,000 employees and supported by 7,500 volunteers, DRC protects, advocates, and builds sustainable futures for refugees and other displacement affected people and communities.

DRC works during displacement at all stages: In the acute crisis, in displacement, when settling and integrating in a new place, or upon return. DRC provides protection and life-saving humanitarian assistance; supports displaced persons in becoming self-reliant and included into hosting societies; and works with civil society and responsible authorities to promote protection of rights and peaceful coexistence.

MMC is a knowledge centre engaged in data collection, research, analysis, and policy and programming on mixed migration. MMC has regional hubs hosted in Africa, Asia, Europe and Latin America, with a global team headquartered in Geneva, Switzerland, and based in several countries worldwide.

MMC is a leading source for independent and high-quality data, research, analysis and expertise on mixed migration. MMC aims to increase understanding of mixed migration, to positively impact global and regional migration policies, to inform evidence-based protection responses for people on the move and to stimulate forward thinking in public and policy debates on mixed migration.

MMC’s overarching focus is on human rights and protection for all people on the move. The MMC is part of and governed by the Danish Refugee Council.

For more information on MMC, visit the website:

http://www.mixedmigration.org/

Purpose of the consultancy

MMC Eastern and Southern Africa, Egypt and Yemen, based in Nairobi, occupies a central place in producing regional research on mixed migration dynamics.

In 2026, MMC has a project with UNHCR on the regional and routes-based displacement consequences of the war in Sudan. Three years into the war, displacement dynamics have become increasingly complex, regionalised, and multi-directional.

Movements are no longer limited to neighbouring countries but extend across North Africa, the Sahel, the Mediterranean, and beyond, often through non-linear and stepwise pathways.

Existing analysis has highlighted several critical features:

• The vast majority of Sudanese remain close to Sudan, but a growing number engage in onward movement across routes.
• Movement decisions are shaped by shrinking protection space, limited access to services, and deteriorating conditions in countries of asylum, rather than predefined destination intentions.
• There is a need to better understand drivers of movement, protection risks, and decision-making processes over time, rather than focusing only on arrivals or flows.

Both UNHCR and MMC hold complementary datasets:

• UNHCR: protection monitoring (quantitative and qualitative), registration/profiling data, operational insights.
• MMC: 4Mi primary data, qualitative interviews, route-level perspectives.

This project proposes to move beyond parallel analysis toward a joint evidence-building exercise, combining UNHCR and MMC data to produce protection-sensitive, route-based insights.

The joint analysis will lead to a comprehensive report on the Regional and Routes-Based Displacement Dynamics linked to the War in Sudan.

Key sections will include:

1. Analysing the scale of displacement and mapping the various routes.
2. Exploring onward movement intentions and decision-making.
3. Mapping exposure and identifying the determinants of vulnerability to abuse and harm.
4. Mapping assistance gaps and provision.
5. Analysing the scale of returns and return intentions.

Objective of the consultancy

MMC is looking for a consultant to take the lead in:

• Conducting quantitative and limited qualitative analysis, involving the bridging of datasets and methodologies to produce coherent, routes-based and protection-sensitive analysis.
• Drafting a joint UNHCR–MMC report on Sudanese (and third-country national) movements across key routes following the outbreak of the war in Sudan.
• Informing advocacy, programming, and donor engagement with an evidence-based narrative and presentation of the approach and key findings.
• Developing a model of structured data collaboration that can be replicated for other contexts.

Deliverables

Phase 1 – Inception

1. Data analysis strategy and inception report

Assess available MMC and UNHCR datasets and draft a plan / inception report for analysing the data, planning data visualisations, and structuring the report.

The inception report should include draft sections for the introduction, background and methodology that will feature in the final report.

Maximum expected timeframe: 5 days

Phase 2 – Analysis

2. Findings presentation

Full analysis of MMC and UNHCR data, in relation to all research questions; identification of initial findings and presentation to MMC and UNHCR for feedback.

Maximum expected timeframe: 8 days

Phase 3 – Writing

3. Full draft of report

Produce a full draft of the report, following the inception report and based on findings developed during the analysis phase.

Share with MMC regional and global teams and UNHCR for feedback.

Maximum expected timeframe: 10 days

Phase 4 – Finalisation

4. Final draft of report

Produce a finalised version of the report, incorporating MMC and UNHCR feedback.

Depending on the polished nature of the first draft, this may require more than one feedback round.

The final report should be fully copy edited by the consultant and conform to MMC’s editorial guidelines.

5. PowerPoint presentation

Prepare a PowerPoint presentation on the paper’s analytical approach and key findings.

The PPT should be framed to inform advocacy, programming, and donor engagement.

6. Short data analysis brief

Prepare an internal two-page analysis brief on coordinating analysis of MMC-UNHCR data.

Maximum expected timeframe: 7 days

The Consultant will provide the completed tasks by email and in Word and PowerPoint formats as indicated above.

Duration, timeline, and payment

The consultant will work 30 days between November 1st and December 27th, 2026.

DRC will make the first payment of 20% of the total costs upon signing of the contract, and the remaining amount upon satisfactory completion of the work.

Proposed Composition of Team

• Senior displacement researcher, well versed in qualitative and quantitative data analysis.
• Mapping and data visualization assistant, if not a part of the senior researcher’s skillset.
• Copy editor, if needed.

Eligibility, qualification, and experience required

Essential

• An advanced degree and post-graduate degree in the Social Sciences, International Development, Migration, Forced Displacement or Refugee Studies, or any other related area of study.
• At least five (5) years of experience in the above or any other related area of study within East Africa.
• Demonstrable experience on matters relating to regional displacement dynamics and migration routes.
• A strong and proven publication track record on migration or forced displacement issues.
• Excellent research, analytical and reporting skills.
• Fluency in written and spoken English.
• Prior experience with MMC is a plus.

How to apply

Bidding documents should be requested from Procurement at:

procurement.ken3@drc.ngo

Proposals should be submitted to the following address:

tender.ken@drc.ngo

Please indicate “MMC Consultancy on Sudan Displacement Data Analysis and Report Writing” in the subject line of your email application.

The deadline for submitting the proposals is on or before 14th October 2026 at 1700 HRS EAT.